3 thoughts on “2022 Is it expected to fall in gold?”

  1. Does 2022 expected gold prices to fall?
    2022 gold price declines are relatively large. In the context of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in 2022, the decline in gold prices is easier than rising. It is expected that gold prices will fall to $ 1,700 in the first quarter of 2022.

    What is the gold market?
    The gold market refers to the trading market that concentrates on gold trading and gold coins. It is divided into two types: the domestic gold market and the international gold market. The former only allows residents to participate, and non -residents are not allowed to participate and prohibit the output input of gold; the latter only allows non -residents to participate or can participate in both residents and non -residents. It is an important part of the international financial market.

    The gold trading in the gold market has two properties: one is that gold is bought and sold as a commodity, that is, the nature of international trade; nature.

    What is frying gold?
    This frying gold is investment gold. In recent years, the currency depreciates sharply due to the influence of the financial crisis. As a symbol of eternal wealth, gold is self -evident, and the country's opening up of the gold investment market, so more and more people know and accept the new type of investment wealth management products in gold investment.

    The gold investment varieties that are more popular in the domestic market include the following:
    physical gold: physical gold, including gold bars, gold coins, ornaments, etc. People who do physical gold pay more attention to value preservation, not investment. This is the first point, and there is a relatively large investment in physical gold.

    Paper gold: Paper gold, paper gold "is a personal voucher gold. Investors buy and sell virtual" gold "on the book according to bank quotation. Individuals by grasping the international gold price trend low suction high throw and earning earns, earning earning Take the fluctuation difference of gold price. Investors' trading records are only reflected in the "golden passbook account" pre -opened by individuals, and no solid gold extraction and delivery will not occur. His characteristics are similar to the physical gold, and the profits are not high.

    Gold and silver: Shanghai T D, the so -called gold and silver T D, refers to the uniformly formulated by the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which stipulates a certain number of subject matter at a specific time and place in the future Standardized contracts. This target, also known as basic assets, is the spot corresponding to the gold and silver T D contract. Like stocks, a matching transaction mechanism is used, the security deposit is large, and the threshold is higher. The biggest problem is the transaction time and international disconnection, and the risk control is not perfect.

    London gold:. Spot London Gold, the spot gold is also called London Gold, which belongs to the right -term transaction, which means that it is delivered or delivered within a few days after the transaction. It is usually called spot gold as the world's largest stock. Because of the huge daily transaction volume of spot gold, the daily transaction volume is about $ 20 trillion. Therefore, no consortium and institutions can manually control such a huge market, and rely on the market spontaneously. The spot gold market does not have a dealer, market specifications, strong self -discipline, and sound regulations. Adopting a market business transaction mechanism, 24 -hour T O two -way transactions, the margin ratio is as high as 100 times, and the investment is relatively small.
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  2. 1. Is the price of 2022 expected to fall?
    Under the background of the US Federal Reserve ’s interest rate in the period of 2022, the decline in gold prices is easier than rising. It is expected that the gold price in the first quarter of 2022 will fall to $ 1700.
    Citibank said: With a loser attitude towards the spot gold market, it is expected that the average gold price will be as low as $ 1,600 in 2022.

    . The gold market
    The gold market refers to the trading market that concentrates the gold trading and gold coins exchange. It is divided into two types: the domestic gold market and the international gold market. The former only allows residents to participate, and non -residents are not allowed to participate and prohibit the output input of gold; the latter only allows non -residents to participate or can participate in both residents and non -residents. It is an important part of the international financial market.
    The gold trading in the gold market has two properties: one is that gold is bought and sold as a commodity, that is, the nature of international trade; the other is that gold is bought and sold as the world currency, which is used for international payment settlement, that is, international financial nature.

    . The transaction mode of the gold market
    It in various successful gold markets, the institutions and venues that provide services to gold transactions are actually different. The specific division can be divided into:
    1. The intangible market without fixed trading venues, represented by the London Gold Market and Zurich Gold Market, can be called European -style;
    2. Those who have a gold trading business in a commodity exchange, with New York, USA New York, USA The commodity exchanges (COMEX) and the Chicago Commodity Exchange (IMM) are represented, which can be called American style;
    3, some gold markets trades in special gold exchanges, with Hong Kong gold and silver trading places and Singapore gold trading The representative of which can be called sub -style.

  3. uncertain!
    The price of gold rose from a low of 100 US dollars in the low point in just six weeks to 5.79%. However, after the FOMC meeting, the price of gold fell sharply, 780 US dollars, almost wiped out all the gains since mid -December. At the same time, last week, it was likely to trigger the top of the US dollar and the fierce back and forth pattern of the stock market. Coupled with gold before the end of February (more favorable factors support), in the short term, it should bring a wave of ups and downs to the precious metal sector.
    Golden fundamentals
    This occurrence of this situation again -Although the actual return rate in the United States has risen again, gold is slowly rising.
    Meo employment data released last week is better than expected, and the Eagle Conference of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, the actual return on the 10-year actual return on the United States will be closed overnight to 48 basis points. As a reference in mid -November 2021, the actual yield of the 10 -year -old 10 -year return in the United States has always been a very negative value transaction at -117 basis points.
    The actual return rate has not transformed into a decline in gold, which is a continuous form of the leading price trend last year. The recent part of the reason is that the large retreat of the US dollar index after the meeting of the European Central Bank and the British Bank last week supported gold.
    The noteworthy is that despite the rebound of the US dollar to the Singapore high 97.44, the gold still remains above $ 1752 in December, which is a classic case of gold crossing the market.
    The latest CFTC positioning data shows that last week COMEX gold's custody funds were reduced by more than half, and a three -month low of 49914 net bulls. However, this selling may have been offset by the needs of long -term investors, including the central bank. Among the other largest gold support ETFs, SPDR GOLD's stocks have recently recorded the largest single -day US dollar inflow since listing in 2004.
    The dynamic reiteration, that is, the main driving force of gold prices is no longer the actual return. On the contrary, the driving force of gold prices comes from seasonal and structural demand to prevent the devaluation/inflation, stock market fluctuations, and European geopolitical tensions.
    Multi -factor promotes the price trend of gold
    The price range of the gold price starting from December 31, 2021, we assume that gold should have greater upward under the advantage of the season before the end of February February potential. Because the price of gold on December 31 was officially closed above the finishing range, and on January 25, it reached a two -month high of $ 1,853. At that time, the price of gold rose from the December lows of $ 1752 in just six weeks, an increase of 5.79%.
    However, these income attracted a large number of profits at a price of about $ 1850. After the January meeting of the Federal Federal Public Marketing Committee, gold was sold for three consecutive days. This violent sales closed at $ 1780, almost all the increases since mid -December. This is a typical institutional appearance.
    Therefore, for this reason, the deep callback does not necessarily end the rising form of the gold market. The sharp rise after the depth recovery is the specific presentation of the structure (the current price is 1815 US dollars). be broken. From the perspective of the overall situation, the entire precious metal sector is still in stubborn collation since August 2020. However, in the short term, the oversold pattern formed by the recovery is once again proved to be promoted by the institution.

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